Washington's 4th Congressional District features an open seat after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek reelection in 2026. The August 4 top-two primary just concluded, with results pending certification by August 21. Multiple Republicans filed, including Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who led early fundraising, along with Matt Boehnke, Jerrod Sessler, and John Hughs. Democrat John Duresky topped a February poll at 25%, ahead of the Republican field. The district's R+10 partisan voting index favors Republican advancement to the general alongside one other candidate under Washington's nonpartisan primary system. Early returns and candidate spending patterns shape trader assessments of likely nominees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWA-04 Primary Winners
WA-04 Primary Winners
$15,433 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
John Duresky
Yes
John Hughs
No
Matt Boehnke
No
Amanda McKinney
Yes
Devin Pooré
No
Jerrod Sessler
No
Carmen Black
No
Jack Kobiesa
No
Favian Valencia
No
Ken Vaz
No
Zac Rossi
No
Elpidia Saavedra
No
$15,433 Vol.
John Duresky
$1,350 Vol.
Yes
John Hughs
$581 Vol.
No
Matt Boehnke
$2,141 Vol.
No
Amanda McKinney
$3,208 Vol.
Yes
Devin Pooré
$1,720 Vol.
No
Jerrod Sessler
$915 Vol.
No
Carmen Black
$1,636 Vol.
No
Jack Kobiesa
$697 Vol.
No
Favian Valencia
$713 Vol.
No
Ken Vaz
$823 Vol.
No
Zac Rossi
$519 Vol.
No
Elpidia Saavedra
$1,130 Vol.
No
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 4th Congressional District features an open seat after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek reelection in 2026. The August 4 top-two primary just concluded, with results pending certification by August 21. Multiple Republicans filed, including Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who led early fundraising, along with Matt Boehnke, Jerrod Sessler, and John Hughs. Democrat John Duresky topped a February poll at 25%, ahead of the Republican field. The district's R+10 partisan voting index favors Republican advancement to the general alongside one other candidate under Washington's nonpartisan primary system. Early returns and candidate spending patterns shape trader assessments of likely nominees.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$15,433End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 4th Congressional District features an open seat after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek reelection in 2026. The August 4 top-two primary just concluded, with results pending certification by August 21. Multiple Republicans filed, including Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who led early fundraising, along with Matt Boehnke, Jerrod Sessler, and John Hughs. Democrat John Duresky topped a February poll at 25%, ahead of the Republican field. The district's R+10 partisan voting index favors Republican advancement to the general alongside one other candidate under Washington's nonpartisan primary system. Early returns and candidate spending patterns shape trader assessments of likely nominees.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$15,433End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Washington's 4th Congressional District features an open seat after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek reelection in 2026. The August 4 top-two primary just concluded, with results pending certification by August 21. Multiple Republicans filed, including Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney, who led early fundraising, along with Matt Boehnke, Jerrod Sessler, and John Hughs. Democrat John Duresky topped a February poll at 25%, ahead of the Republican field. The district's R+10 partisan voting index favors Republican advancement to the general alongside one other candidate under Washington's nonpartisan primary system. Early returns and candidate spending patterns shape trader assessments of likely nominees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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