Charlie Crist holds an 87.5% implied probability in the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff as the top vote-getter in the August 18 primary with 35% support, advancing ahead of incumbent Ken Welch at 21%. Crist maintains a commanding position through superior fundraising, consistent polling gains to a 52-27% lead in the latest head-to-head survey, and endorsements from multiple former mayors, state legislators, and city council members. Welch trails amid lower resources and voter concerns over city management issues. The November 3 runoff remains the decisive contest, with Crist positioned as the clear favorite based on current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$58,111 Vol.
$58,111 Vol.

Charlie Crist
88%

Ken Welch
12%
$58,111 Vol.
$58,111 Vol.

Charlie Crist
88%

Ken Welch
12%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Charlie Crist holds an 87.5% implied probability in the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff as the top vote-getter in the August 18 primary with 35% support, advancing ahead of incumbent Ken Welch at 21%. Crist maintains a commanding position through superior fundraising, consistent polling gains to a 52-27% lead in the latest head-to-head survey, and endorsements from multiple former mayors, state legislators, and city council members. Welch trails amid lower resources and voter concerns over city management issues. The November 3 runoff remains the decisive contest, with Crist positioned as the clear favorite based on current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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