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Electoral Votes predictions & odds

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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

3%

$28.7K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

94%

Scott Wiener

$358K Vol.

$34.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 15 days

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

25%

130m+

$7.3K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

70%

$39.4K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

87%

$2.7K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$584M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

915

Ends in over 2 years

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$392K Liq.

75

Ends in over 2 years

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

15%

Democrats 8-10%

$34.8K Vol.

$134K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

45%

Labour 0-5%

$0 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$82.7K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

18%

$21.3K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$11.5K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$4.1K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$4.7K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-08 House Election Winner

IN-08 House Election Winner

97%

Republican Party

$35.9K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$397K Liq.

34

Ends in 5 months

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

32%

Romeu Zema

$282K Vol.

$251K Liq.

46

Ends in 5 months

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

46%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Electoral Votes.

Polymarket currently hosts 119 active markets for Electoral Votes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $590.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Electoral Votes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.