2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

19%

Democrats 6-8%

$29.4K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

23%

$0 Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

1%

March 31

$54.0K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

76%

$0 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

76%

$27.0K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

45%

$0 Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$905K Vol.

$271K today

$89.2K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

99%

Freedom Movement (GS)

$4M Vol.

$86.1K today

$84.3K Liq.

146

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

88%

Democrats (D)

$82.9K Vol.

$53.5K Liq.

4

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

57%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$777K Liq.

60

Ends in over 2 years

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

98%

Social Democrats

$19.0K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

3

Slovenian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Slovenian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

99%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$44.1K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

57%

Republican

$147K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

90%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$872K Vol.

$117K Liq.

7

Ends in 6 months

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

71%

Republican

$85.2K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

54%

Democrat

$58.4K Vol.

$48.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

South Dakota Governor Election Winner

95%

Republican

$6.5K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Michigan Governor Election Winner

64%

Democrat

$170K Vol.

$55.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Nevada Governor Election Winner

51%

Democrat

$18.2K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Georgia Governor Election Winner

Georgia Governor Election Winner

57%

Democrat

$12.0K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Democrats.

Polymarket currently hosts 259 active markets for Democrats that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Freedom Movement (GS). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Democrats predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.