Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 19 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, combined with Bentz's incumbency since 2020 and substantial campaign resources, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Beck emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave altering turnout dynamics ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,323 ปริมาณ
91%
Democratic Party
$2,784 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 19 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, combined with Bentz's incumbency since 2020 and substantial campaign resources, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Beck emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave altering turnout dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,107วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 19 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, combined with Bentz's incumbency since 2020 and substantial campaign resources, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Beck emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave altering turnout dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,107วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 19 primary, advancing to face Democrat Chris Beck in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District. The sprawling rural district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, combined with Bentz's incumbency since 2020 and substantial campaign resources, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Beck emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has delivered Republican victories by wide margins in recent cycles. Factors that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unexpected national political wave altering turnout dynamics ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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