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Presidential Election 2024 predictions & odds

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$584M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

915

Ends in over 2 years

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$392K Liq.

75

Ends in over 2 years

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

89%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$53.1K Vol.

$285K Liq.

16

Ends in 11 months

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

74%

Jordan Bardella

$3.7K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$79M Vol.

$1M today

$7M Liq.

7,138

Ends in 5 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$73M Vol.

$721K today

$6M Liq.

509

Ends in 12 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

66%

Keiko Fujimori

$53M Vol.

$590K today

$4M Liq.

4,792

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

44%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$29M Vol.

$83.4K today

$2M Liq.

436

Ends in about 1 month

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

86%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$6M Vol.

$1M Liq.

39

Ends in 14 days

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

100%

70-75%

$269K Vol.

$71.1K Liq.

31

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

86%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$11.6K Vol.

$90.6K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$399K Liq.

34

Ends in 5 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

32%

Romeu Zema

$282K Vol.

$248K Liq.

46

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

71%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$90.1K Vol.

$246K Liq.

3

Ends in 13 days

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

48%

Javier Milei

$68.0K Vol.

$105K Liq.

16

Ends in over 1 year

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

40%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$15.0K Vol.

$88.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$82.5K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

99%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9.8K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

7

Ends in 11 months

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

51%

54-57%

$2.6K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

57%

Canceled

$51.5K Vol.

$61.9K Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Presidential Election 2024.

Polymarket currently hosts 123 active markets for Presidential Election 2024 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $830.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Presidential Election 2024 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.