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Presidential Election 2024 predictions & odds

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$588M Vol.

$3M today

$31M Liq.

925

Ends in over 2 years

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

92%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$56.9K Vol.

$319K Liq.

17

Ends in 11 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$412K Liq.

75

Ends in over 2 years

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

70%

Jordan Bardella

$3.7K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

23%

Jordan Bardella

$74M Vol.

$2M today

$6M Liq.

508

Ends in 12 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

44%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$79M Vol.

$474K today

$7M Liq.

7,227

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

45%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$29M Vol.

$186K today

$2M Liq.

438

Ends in about 1 month

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

64%

Keiko Fujimori

$53M Vol.

$184K today

$4M Liq.

4,813

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

86%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$6M Vol.

$1M Liq.

39

Ends in 13 days

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

78%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$21.4K Vol.

$89.6K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$404K Liq.

35

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

73%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$95.6K Vol.

$232K Liq.

3

Ends in 12 days

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

45%

Javier Milei

$72.1K Vol.

$111K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

35%

Romeu Zema

$285K Vol.

$269K Liq.

46

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

40%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$16.4K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$74.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

51%

54-57%

$2.7K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 days

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

99%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9.8K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

7

Ends in 11 months

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

58%

Canceled

$52.1K Vol.

$73.6K Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

15%

Fernando Dias da Costa

$313K Vol.

$59.9K Liq.

13

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Presidential Election 2024 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $836.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Presidential Election 2024 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.