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Democratic Alliance predictions & odds

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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

7%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$533K Vol.

$134K Liq.

14

Ends in 13 days

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

94%

Moderates

$125K Vol.

$44.9K Liq.

14

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

94%

UDMR

$13.4K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

3

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

11%

$320K Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

81%

10+

$34.6K Vol.

$70.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader in 2026?

81%

$5.6K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20%

$1.9K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?

How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?

26%

12

$8.5K Vol.

$44.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

43%

PSD + AUR

$7.6K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$61M Liq.

735

Ends in over 2 years

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

57%

$4.0K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

30%

Labour + Green + Maori

$3.5K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

88%

No election before 2027

$18.4K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

7

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

53%

Likud

$2.9K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

61%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$16.3K Vol.

$63.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

72%

Matt Little

$31.6K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

36%

$1.2K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

74%

Joe Baldacci

$15.0K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

43%

$30.7K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Democratic Alliance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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