Skip to main content

Declare predictions & odds

·
Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

5%

$141K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$61.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

37

Ends in about 1 month

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

9%

$52.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

2%

$53.1K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

29%

$156K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$213K today

$229K Liq.

477

Ends in about 1 month

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

25%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

72

Ends in 8 months

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

<1%

$1M Vol.

$301K today

$91.5K Liq.

19

Trump kiss by May 31?

Trump kiss by May 31?

18%

$2.8K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs

100%

BET-M 33

$1.6K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

BIG Academy

$14.1K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$32.1K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

18%

$15.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

12

Ends in 14 days

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$4.8K Vol.

LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Disguised

$357K Vol.

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

STATE

$2.8K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Declare.

Polymarket currently hosts 158 active markets for Declare that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kurds declare independence from Iran?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $30.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Declare predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.