Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's decisive June 2, 2026, primary victory, securing 58% of the vote and advancing against Republican Peter Verbica, has reinforced trader consensus in this solidly Democratic district. California's 19th congressional district, encompassing much of the San Jose area, maintains a pronounced Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent electoral history favoring the party. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and the structural barriers to an upset in the November general election. A meaningful shift in the implied probability would require unforeseen developments such as a major candidate scandal, withdrawal, or atypical turnout surge that alters the established partisan dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,801 Vol.
$34,801 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$34,801 Vol.
$34,801 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$23,416 Vol.
96%
共和党
$11,385 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's decisive June 2, 2026, primary victory, securing 58% of the vote and advancing against Republican Peter Verbica, has reinforced trader consensus in this solidly Democratic district. California's 19th congressional district, encompassing much of the San Jose area, maintains a pronounced Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent electoral history favoring the party. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and the structural barriers to an upset in the November general election. A meaningful shift in the implied probability would require unforeseen developments such as a major candidate scandal, withdrawal, or atypical turnout surge that alters the established partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$34,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's decisive June 2, 2026, primary victory, securing 58% of the vote and advancing against Republican Peter Verbica, has reinforced trader consensus in this solidly Democratic district. California's 19th congressional district, encompassing much of the San Jose area, maintains a pronounced Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent electoral history favoring the party. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and the structural barriers to an upset in the November general election. A meaningful shift in the implied probability would require unforeseen developments such as a major candidate scandal, withdrawal, or atypical turnout surge that alters the established partisan dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta's decisive June 2, 2026, primary victory, securing 58% of the vote and advancing against Republican Peter Verbica, has reinforced trader consensus in this solidly Democratic district. California's 19th congressional district, encompassing much of the San Jose area, maintains a pronounced Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent electoral history favoring the party. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican opposition and the structural barriers to an upset in the November general election. A meaningful shift in the implied probability would require unforeseen developments such as a major candidate scandal, withdrawal, or atypical turnout surge that alters the established partisan dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問