2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

21%

Democrats 8-10%

$28.1K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

18%

115-120m

$3.1K Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

Below 190

$198K Vol.

$118K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

2%

$413 Vol.

$2 Liq.

5

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

42%

December 31, 2026

$97.7K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

5%

$231K Vol.

$41.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

66%

$34.5K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in almost 3 years

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

12%

$653K Vol.

$50.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

86%

$214 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

5%

$16.8K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

53%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$564K Liq.

138

Ends in 7 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$59.1K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$314K Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

84%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$361K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

88%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$563K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

8%

28–31

$52.6K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

33%

4-6

$40.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

1

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

73%

4-6

$229 Vol.

$372 Liq.

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

39%

20–23

$22.5K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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