Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Senate·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Republican Party

$1M Vol.

$381K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Senate·Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$436K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Senate·Politics

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$56.2K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Senate·Politics

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

21%

$103K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

8

Ends in 10 months

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Senate·Politics

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

4%

$178K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
Senate·Politics

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

1%

$24.3K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
Senate·Politics

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

89%

John Kennedy

$4.4K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
Senate·Politics

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$550K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

25

Ends in 9 days

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?
Senate·Politics

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

34%

Charles McCall

$26.9K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Senate·Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$213K today

$176K Liq.

7

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Senate·Politics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.1K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Senate·Politics

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

52%

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Senate·Politics

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

91%

0

$0 Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Senate·Politics

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

39%

2

$0 Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Senate·Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$67.3K today

$536K Liq.

132

Ends in 8 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup
Senate·Politics

Texas Senate Election Matchup

55%

Talarico & Cornyn

$466K Vol.

$82.2K Liq.

3

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?
Senate·Politics

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

98%

24-26

$56.1K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

1

Peru Senate Election Winner
Senate·Politics

Peru Senate Election Winner

44%

RP

$0 Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
Senate·Politics

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

39%

7

$29.0K Vol.

$108K Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Blue wave in 2026?
Senate·Politics

Blue wave in 2026?

86%

$24.1K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Senate.

Polymarket currently hosts 210 active markets for Senate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Senate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.