Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

56%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$97.1K today

$359K Liq.

27

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

86%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$501K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

$66.7K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

37%

John Thune

$33.2K Vol.

$69.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

20%

$106K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

5%

$278K Vol.

$47.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

97%

Kevin Cramer

$73.5K Vol.

$43.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$559K Vol.

$600 Liq.

28

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$200K Liq.

6

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

65%

$3.2K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

74%

$2.2K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

70%

0

$3.8K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

42%

2

$3.5K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

53%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$564K Liq.

146

Ends in 7 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

60%

Talarico & Paxton

$658K Vol.

$92.1K Liq.

3

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

91%

FP

$52.8K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

2

Haiti elections delayed again?

Haiti elections delayed again?

65%

$6.0K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

# of seats won by PH in Colombia Senate Election?

96%

24-26

$122K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

1

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

70%

7

$70.1K Vol.

$76.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

50%

75-80%

$26.5K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

3

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Senate.

Polymarket currently hosts 211 active markets for Senate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Senate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.