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US Elections predictions & odds

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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$290K Liq.

73

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$575M Vol.

$986K today

$29M Liq.

906

Ends in over 2 years

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

15%

$20.8K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

84%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

91%

$161K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$39.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

16%

115-120m

$7.2K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$11.5K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

IN-05 House Election Winner

IN-05 House Election Winner

78%

Republican Party

$13.5K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$750K Vol.

$994 Liq.

14

IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$1.4K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

14%

Democrats 8-10%

$31.8K Vol.

$57.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-06 House Election Winner

IN-06 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$6.9K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-03 House Election Winner

IN-03 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$1.0K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

55%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$283K Liq.

44

Ends in 6 months

IN-02 House Election Winner

IN-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$405 Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-01 House Election Winner

IN-01 House Election Winner

83%

Democratic Party

$423 Vol.

$789 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MS-03 House Election Winner

MS-03 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$25.8K Vol.

$36.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NY-19 House Election Winner

NY-19 House Election Winner

79%

Democratic Party

$274 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for US Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $580.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.