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Politics·Primaries

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

Megan Degenfelder 75.8%

Eric Barlow 8.3%

Mark Gordon 3.9%

Brent Bien 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Megan Degenfelder 75.8%

Eric Barlow 8.3%

Mark Gordon 3.9%

Brent Bien 1.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Megan Degenfelder

$0 Vol.

76%

Eric Barlow

$0 Vol.

13%

Mark Gordon

$0 Vol.

4%

Brent Bien

$0 Vol.

8%

Chuck Gray

$0 Vol.

2%

Harriet Hageman

$0 Vol.

1%

Joseph Kibler

$4,275 Vol.

1%

Ogen Driskill

$0 Vol.

1%

Bo Biteman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tara Nethercott

$0 Vol.

<1%

Paul Ulrich

$0 Vol.

<1%

Reid Rasner

$0 Vol.

<1%

Chip Neiman

$0 Vol.

<1%

Curt Meier

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cheri Steinmetz

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder to win the Republican gubernatorial primary, with odds reflecting her dominant position in the latest public polling and early fundraising leads among GOP primary voters. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon trails far behind due to ongoing base dissatisfaction over his vetoes of conservative priorities like abortion restrictions, election reforms, and spending cuts, eroding his incumbency advantage in a low-turnout primary electorate. State Senator Eric Barlow and Representative Brent Bien draw support as hardline challengers but lack Degenfelder's statewide name recognition and momentum from recent conservative endorsements. The August 2026 primary leaves ample time for shifts via caucuses, debates, or Trump-aligned backing.

Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder to win the Republican gubernatorial primary, with odds reflecting her dominant position in the latest public polling and early fundraising leads among GOP primary voters. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon trails far behind due to ongoing base dissatisfaction over his vetoes of conservative priorities like abortion restrictions, election reforms, and spending cuts, eroding his incumbency advantage in a low-turnout primary electorate. State Senator Eric Barlow and Representative Brent Bien draw support as hardline challengers but lack Degenfelder's statewide name recognition and momentum from recent conservative endorsements. The August 2026 primary leaves ample time for shifts via caucuses, debates, or Trump-aligned backing.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder to win the Republican gubernatorial primary, with odds reflecting her dominant position in the latest public polling and early fundraising leads among GOP primary voters. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon trails far behind due to ongoing base dissatisfaction over his vetoes of conservative priorities like abortion restrictions, election reforms, and spending cuts, eroding his incumbency advantage in a low-turnout primary electorate. State Senator Eric Barlow and Representative Brent Bien draw support as hardline challengers but lack Degenfelder's statewide name recognition and momentum from recent conservative endorsements. The August 2026 primary leaves ample time for shifts via caucuses, debates, or Trump-aligned backing.

Trader consensus heavily favors Wyoming Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder to win the Republican gubernatorial primary, with odds reflecting her dominant position in the latest public polling and early fundraising leads among GOP primary voters. Incumbent Governor Mark Gordon trails far behind due to ongoing base dissatisfaction over his vetoes of conservative priorities like abortion restrictions, election reforms, and spending cuts, eroding his incumbency advantage in a low-turnout primary electorate. State Senator Eric Barlow and Representative Brent Bien draw support as hardline challengers but lack Degenfelder's statewide name recognition and momentum from recent conservative endorsements. The August 2026 primary leaves ample time for shifts via caucuses, debates, or Trump-aligned backing.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Megan Degenfelder" at 76%, followed by "Eric Barlow" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Megan Degenfelder" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eric Barlow" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.