Eric Barlow leads the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary as the frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising totals that exceed Megan Degenfelder’s by roughly $380,000, with the bulk of his contributions coming from individual donors. His experience as a state senator from District 23 and an internal campaign poll showing him at 42% have reinforced trader consensus around his position ahead of the August 18 primary. Degenfelder, the state superintendent of public instruction, trails at a distant second despite Donald Trump’s endorsement and visibility from recent candidate debates, while Brent Bien and lesser-known entrants such as Curt Blake register minimal support in available metrics. The open-seat contest, with term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon ineligible, has centered attention on fundraising momentum and polling signals in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEric Barlow 81.9%
Megan Degenfelder 16.6%
Brent Bien 2.8%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$319,755 Vol.
$319,755 Vol.
Eric Barlow
82%
Megan Degenfelder
17%
Brent Bien
3%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Eric Barlow 81.9%
Megan Degenfelder 16.6%
Brent Bien 2.8%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$319,755 Vol.
$319,755 Vol.
Eric Barlow
82%
Megan Degenfelder
17%
Brent Bien
3%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eric Barlow leads the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary as the frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising totals that exceed Megan Degenfelder’s by roughly $380,000, with the bulk of his contributions coming from individual donors. His experience as a state senator from District 23 and an internal campaign poll showing him at 42% have reinforced trader consensus around his position ahead of the August 18 primary. Degenfelder, the state superintendent of public instruction, trails at a distant second despite Donald Trump’s endorsement and visibility from recent candidate debates, while Brent Bien and lesser-known entrants such as Curt Blake register minimal support in available metrics. The open-seat contest, with term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon ineligible, has centered attention on fundraising momentum and polling signals in the final days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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