Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Midterm·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Democratic Party

$864K Vol.

$86.6K today

$316K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Midterm·Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$430K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout
Midterm·Politics

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

37%

85-90m

$0 Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
Midterm·Politics

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

26%

$0 Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Midterm·Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

≤47

$792K Vol.

$273K today

$169K Liq.

4

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
Midterm·Politics

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

55%

24–25

$58.0K Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Midterm·Politics

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

90%

$86.2K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

17

Ends in 10 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Midterm·Politics

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$8.1K Vol.

$71.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

NY-18 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

NY-18 House Election Winner

81%

Democratic Party

$27.9K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NE-02 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

NE-02 House Election Winner

68%

Democratic Party

$27.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Midterm·Politics

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

33%

Democrats 6-8%

$25.5K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

UT-01 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

UT-01 House Election Winner

78%

Democratic Party

$25.0K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Texas Senate Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

Texas Senate Election Winner

56%

Republican

$132K Vol.

$60.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

NC-12 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

NC-12 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$8.6K Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NC-04 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

NC-04 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$4.9K Vol.

$33.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FL-18 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

FL-18 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$5.2K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NC-05 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

NC-05 House Election Winner

86%

Republican Party

$11.7K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MS-03 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

MS-03 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$14.8K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FL-08 House Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

FL-08 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$6.4K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Alaska Senate Election Winner
Midterm·Politics

Alaska Senate Election Winner

49%

Mary Peltola

$239K Vol.

$53.6K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Midterm.

Polymarket currently hosts 1163 active markets for Midterm that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Ken Paxton drop out?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Midterm predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.