The current distribution of trader probabilities around 115-130 million total votes reflects uncertainty over baseline midterm participation amid a nationalized contest with relatively few competitive House districts. Recent generic congressional ballot trends favoring Democrats by six to seven points align with typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, potentially boosting enthusiasm among higher-propensity voters while safe-seat dynamics may dampen turnout elsewhere. Demographic patterns, including stronger participation among college-educated voters and ongoing youth outreach, alongside redistricting effects and a high number of open seats, keep multiple outcomes closely matched. Late shifts in presidential approval, major legislative developments, or intensified campaign mobilization in battlegrounds could separate the leading bins by altering overall engagement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật130m+ 44%
115-120m 31%
125-130m 14%
120-125m 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
8%
110-115m
25%
115-120m
31%
120-125m
30%
125-130m
14%
130m+
28%
130m+ 44%
115-120m 31%
125-130m 14%
120-125m 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$324 KL.
<1%
85-90m
$419 KL.
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 KL.
1%
95-100m
$269 KL.
3%
100-105m
$800 KL.
4%
105-110m
$436 KL.
8%
110-115m
$526 KL.
25%
115-120m
$1,025 KL.
31%
120-125m
$408 KL.
30%
125-130m
$1,204 KL.
14%
130m+
$318 KL.
28%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The current distribution of trader probabilities around 115-130 million total votes reflects uncertainty over baseline midterm participation amid a nationalized contest with relatively few competitive House districts. Recent generic congressional ballot trends favoring Democrats by six to seven points align with typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, potentially boosting enthusiasm among higher-propensity voters while safe-seat dynamics may dampen turnout elsewhere. Demographic patterns, including stronger participation among college-educated voters and ongoing youth outreach, alongside redistricting effects and a high number of open seats, keep multiple outcomes closely matched. Late shifts in presidential approval, major legislative developments, or intensified campaign mobilization in battlegrounds could separate the leading bins by altering overall engagement.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The current distribution of trader probabilities around 115-130 million total votes reflects uncertainty over baseline midterm participation amid a nationalized contest with relatively few competitive House districts. Recent generic congressional ballot trends favoring Democrats by six to seven points align with typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, potentially boosting enthusiasm among higher-propensity voters while safe-seat dynamics may dampen turnout elsewhere. Demographic patterns, including stronger participation among college-educated voters and ongoing youth outreach, alongside redistricting effects and a high number of open seats, keep multiple outcomes closely matched. Late shifts in presidential approval, major legislative developments, or intensified campaign mobilization in battlegrounds could separate the leading bins by altering overall engagement.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Khối lượng
$7,280Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The current distribution of trader probabilities around 115-130 million total votes reflects uncertainty over baseline midterm participation amid a nationalized contest with relatively few competitive House districts. Recent generic congressional ballot trends favoring Democrats by six to seven points align with typical midterm headwinds for the president's party, potentially boosting enthusiasm among higher-propensity voters while safe-seat dynamics may dampen turnout elsewhere. Demographic patterns, including stronger participation among college-educated voters and ongoing youth outreach, alongside redistricting effects and a high number of open seats, keep multiple outcomes closely matched. Late shifts in presidential approval, major legislative developments, or intensified campaign mobilization in battlegrounds could separate the leading bins by altering overall engagement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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