Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 73.5 percent as the Labour candidate, reflecting his established regional profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's decision to fast-track his selection after Josh Simons resigned the seat in mid-May to enable a parliamentary route for leadership ambitions. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon trails at 24.5 percent amid the party's recent local election gains in the constituency and national polling strength, though Burnham's personal vote and the short campaign window favor the frontrunner in trader assessments. Other candidates remain at minimal levels consistent with limited visibility. The June 18 vote remains the key upcoming event that could shift probabilities if turnout patterns or late developments alter the current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMakerfield by-election Winner
Makerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,101,217 KL.
$2,101,217 KL.
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,101,217 KL.
$2,101,217 KL.
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 73.5 percent as the Labour candidate, reflecting his established regional profile as Greater Manchester mayor and the party's decision to fast-track his selection after Josh Simons resigned the seat in mid-May to enable a parliamentary route for leadership ambitions. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon trails at 24.5 percent amid the party's recent local election gains in the constituency and national polling strength, though Burnham's personal vote and the short campaign window favor the frontrunner in trader assessments. Other candidates remain at minimal levels consistent with limited visibility. The June 18 vote remains the key upcoming event that could shift probabilities if turnout patterns or late developments alter the current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp