Republican incumbent Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon district has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Bentz's 2024 win by double digits, reflecting its rural voter base and partisan composition. This structural advantage underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from a national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, though such developments remain low-probability events absent major new catalysts before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,363 KL.
92%
Democratic Party
$2,784 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon district has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Bentz's 2024 win by double digits, reflecting its rural voter base and partisan composition. This structural advantage underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from a national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, though such developments remain low-probability events absent major new catalysts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon district has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Bentz's 2024 win by double digits, reflecting its rural voter base and partisan composition. This structural advantage underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from a national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, though such developments remain low-probability events absent major new catalysts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,147Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling eastern and southern Oregon district has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Bentz's 2024 win by double digits, reflecting its rural voter base and partisan composition. This structural advantage underpins the market's strong consensus for a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from a national political realignment, unexpected candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key counties, though such developments remain low-probability events absent major new catalysts before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp