Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Democratic Party

$1M Vol.

$378K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

87%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$567K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$0 Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

21%

May 31

$336K Vol.

$49.4K Liq.

13

Ends in about 2 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

44%

1

$679K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

27%

$31.9K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

82%

$2.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$38.3K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

88%

$2.5K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

85%

$669 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

12%

$133K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

<1%

$52.4K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

4

arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

-

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

8%

$102K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?

7%

$52.2K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

10%

$130K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

$2.0K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

43%

300-400k

$36.8K Vol.

$164K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

NBA Best Record

NBA Best Record

91%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$228K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

-1

Ends in 7 days

Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?

Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?

71%

$1.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 2024 Ca Senate Primary.

Polymarket currently hosts 161 active markets for 2024 Ca Senate Primary that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which party will win the House in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to Democratic Party. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2024 Ca Senate Primary predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.