California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCA-03 Primary Winners
CA-03 Primary Winners
NEW
Jun 2, 2026
Ami Bera
95%
Robb Tucker
65%
Christine Bish
26%
Heidi Hall
16%
Chris Bennett
6%
Laura Koscki
5%
Chris Richardson
3%
Lyndon Cervantes
3%
$4,465 Vol.
Ami Bera
$459 Vol.
95%
Robb Tucker
$1,972 Vol.
65%
Christine Bish
$1,125 Vol.
26%
Heidi Hall
$452 Vol.
16%
Chris Bennett
$258 Vol.
6%
Laura Koscki
$73 Vol.
5%
Chris Richardson
$125 Vol.
3%
Lyndon Cervantes
$0 Vol.
3%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volume
$4,465End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,465End Date
Jun 2, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Ami Bera as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $1.8 million cash on hand and the Sacramento Bee's May 2 endorsement, following mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50 that shifted the district from Republican-leaning to Democratic-favoring (Kamala Harris +10 in 2024). A crowded field of four Democrats, including challenger Heidi Hall with environmental group backing, risks vote-splitting that could propel a Republican like Nevada County Supervisor Robb Tucker—endorsed by ex-incumbent Kevin Kiley—into the second spot under the top-two system. Early voting since May 4 shows Republican and Democratic ballot returns nearly even, heightening uncertainty with polls scarce and the general election November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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