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California Primary predictions & odds

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California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

98%

Xavier Becerra

$11.3K Vol.

$61.3K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

98%

Becerra <5%

$32.0K Vol.

$61.3K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

97%

Tom Steyer

$9.9K Vol.

$61.0K Liq.

1

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

99%

Steve Hilton

$4.8K Vol.

$40.7K Liq.

1

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

97%

Xavier Becerra

$27.4K Vol.

$54.5K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

97%

Steve Hilton

$8.8K Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

62%

Karen Bass

$12M Vol.

$1M Liq.

145

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

99%

Xavier Becerra

$933K Vol.

$746K Liq.

10

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

21%

$3M Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

18

Ends in 4 months

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

51%

$219K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

6

Ends in about 7 hours

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

1%

$584 Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

New York Charging vs. California Palms

New York Charging vs. California Palms

57%

New York Charging

$222 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Boston Cannons vs. California Redwoods

Boston Cannons vs. California Redwoods

73%

California Redwoods

$4 Vol.

$52 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Carolina Chaos vs. California Redwoods

Carolina Chaos vs. California Redwoods

70%

California Redwoods

$83 Vol.

$50 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like California Primary.

Polymarket currently hosts 14 active markets for California Primary that lets you track or trade on predictions like “California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Los Angeles Mayoral Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Los Angeles Mayoral Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to Karen Bass. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on California Primary predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.