Allison Janney’s commanding market-implied odds at 100% reflect her veteran status, record-tying Emmy history across multiple series, and standout critical reception for her portrayal of President Grace Penn in the third season of Netflix’s The Diplomat. Traders appear to have factored in strong precursor momentum, guild-level recognition, and an industry narrative favoring experienced performers in high-profile political dramas, while The Pitt’s four supporting actress nominees likely split votes among themselves. An upset would have required an unexpected late surge from a less-established contender like Taylor Dearden or a historic voting bloc shift favoring The Pitt’s ensemble, though final-round ballots showed no such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” 100.0%
Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt” <1%
Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt” <1%
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” <1%
$96,953 Vol.
$96,953 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt”
No
Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt”
No
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat”
Yes
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt”
No
Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt”
No
Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise”
No
Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus”
No
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” 100.0%
Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt” <1%
Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt” <1%
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” <1%
$96,953 Vol.
$96,953 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Taylor Dearden – “The Pitt”
$5,292 Vol.
No
Fiona Dourif – “The Pitt”
$3,842 Vol.
No
Allison Janney – “The Diplomat”
$14,544 Vol.
Yes
Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt”
$32,191 Vol.
No
Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt”
$22,653 Vol.
No
Julianne Nicholson – “Paradise”
$2,536 Vol.
No
Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus”
$15,895 Vol.
No
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Allison Janney’s commanding market-implied odds at 100% reflect her veteran status, record-tying Emmy history across multiple series, and standout critical reception for her portrayal of President Grace Penn in the third season of Netflix’s The Diplomat. Traders appear to have factored in strong precursor momentum, guild-level recognition, and an industry narrative favoring experienced performers in high-profile political dramas, while The Pitt’s four supporting actress nominees likely split votes among themselves. An upset would have required an unexpected late surge from a less-established contender like Taylor Dearden or a historic voting bloc shift favoring The Pitt’s ensemble, though final-round ballots showed no such movement.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$96,953End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Allison Janney’s commanding market-implied odds at 100% reflect her veteran status, record-tying Emmy history across multiple series, and standout critical reception for her portrayal of President Grace Penn in the third season of Netflix’s The Diplomat. Traders appear to have factored in strong precursor momentum, guild-level recognition, and an industry narrative favoring experienced performers in high-profile political dramas, while The Pitt’s four supporting actress nominees likely split votes among themselves. An upset would have required an unexpected late surge from a less-established contender like Taylor Dearden or a historic voting bloc shift favoring The Pitt’s ensemble, though final-round ballots showed no such movement.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$96,953End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Allison Janney’s commanding market-implied odds at 100% reflect her veteran status, record-tying Emmy history across multiple series, and standout critical reception for her portrayal of President Grace Penn in the third season of Netflix’s The Diplomat. Traders appear to have factored in strong precursor momentum, guild-level recognition, and an industry narrative favoring experienced performers in high-profile political dramas, while The Pitt’s four supporting actress nominees likely split votes among themselves. An upset would have required an unexpected late surge from a less-established contender like Taylor Dearden or a historic voting bloc shift favoring The Pitt’s ensemble, though final-round ballots showed no such movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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