The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent partisan lean of roughly 13 points more Democratic than the national average and the presence of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs. She secured reelection in 2024 with approximately 61 percent of the vote against a Republican opponent. The June 2 top-two primary features Jacobs alongside other Democrats and limited Republican opposition, with no viable challenger emerging to alter the structural baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in this San Diego-area district. A significant national shift against Democrats or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability based on established voting trends and candidate field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-51 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-51 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$28,591 Объем
$28,591 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
4%
$28,591 Объем
$28,591 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,910 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$13,845 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent partisan lean of roughly 13 points more Democratic than the national average and the presence of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs. She secured reelection in 2024 with approximately 61 percent of the vote against a Republican opponent. The June 2 top-two primary features Jacobs alongside other Democrats and limited Republican opposition, with no viable challenger emerging to alter the structural baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in this San Diego-area district. A significant national shift against Democrats or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability based on established voting trends and candidate field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$28,591Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent partisan lean of roughly 13 points more Democratic than the national average and the presence of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs. She secured reelection in 2024 with approximately 61 percent of the vote against a Republican opponent. The June 2 top-two primary features Jacobs alongside other Democrats and limited Republican opposition, with no viable challenger emerging to alter the structural baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in this San Diego-area district. A significant national shift against Democrats or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability based on established voting trends and candidate field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,591Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent partisan lean of roughly 13 points more Democratic than the national average and the presence of incumbent Representative Sara Jacobs. She secured reelection in 2024 with approximately 61 percent of the vote against a Republican opponent. The June 2 top-two primary features Jacobs alongside other Democrats and limited Republican opposition, with no viable challenger emerging to alter the structural baseline. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns in this San Diego-area district. A significant national shift against Democrats or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow margins, though such developments remain low-probability based on established voting trends and candidate field.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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