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Політика·Первинні

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Політика·Первинні

CA-48 Primary Winners

$10,121 Обс.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$10,121 Обс.

Polymarket

Abel Chavez

$399 Обс.

No

Brandon Riker

$1,233 Обс.

No

Eric Shaw

$499 Обс.

No

Jim Desmond

$1,652 Обс.

Yes

Luis Reyna

$363 Обс.

No

Mike Schaefer

$169 Обс.

No

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$1,236 Обс.

No

Corinna Contreras

$928 Обс.

No

Ferguson Porter

$584 Обс.

No

Kevin O'Neil

$1,937 Обс.

No

Marni von Wilpert

$885 Обс.

Yes

Stephen Clemons

$238 Обс.

No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, primary under a top-two system after Proposition 50 redistricting added suburban Democratic voters from San Diego and Palm Springs areas, shifting the formerly Republican-leaning seat into a more competitive position. Incumbent Darrell Issa retired, prompting Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor, to enter and secure strong party backing. He led results with over 40 percent of the vote. Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, placed second at roughly 19.5 percent and advances alongside Desmond to the November general election, ahead of other Democratic contenders including Ammar Campa-Najjar. These outcomes reflect vote consolidation dynamics and the district's altered partisan makeup heading into the general.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$10,121
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District held its June 2, 2026, primary under a top-two system after Proposition 50 redistricting added suburban Democratic voters from San Diego and Palm Springs areas, shifting the formerly Republican-leaning seat into a more competitive position. Incumbent Darrell Issa retired, prompting Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor, to enter and secure strong party backing. He led results with over 40 percent of the vote. Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, placed second at roughly 19.5 percent and advances alongside Desmond to the November general election, ahead of other Democratic contenders including Ammar Campa-Najjar. These outcomes reflect vote consolidation dynamics and the district's altered partisan makeup heading into the general.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$10,121
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-48 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jim Desmond» з 100%, далі «Marni von Wilpert» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CA-48 Primary Winners» згенерував $10.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 22, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-48 Primary Winners», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-48 Primary Winners» — «Jim Desmond» з 100%. Наступний — «Marni von Wilpert» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-48 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.