Election odds & predictions

100%

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

<1%

Anicet-Georges Dologuélé

<1%

Henri-Marie Dondra

<1%

Serge Ghislaine Djouri

98%

MCU

1%

MOUNI

<1%

RDC

<1%

URCA

99%

UPR

<1%

BR

<1%

LD

<1%

FCBE

99%

Yoweri Kaguta Museveni

1%

Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu

<1%

Gregory Mugisha Muntuyera

<1%

Nathan James Nandala Mafabi

73%

António José Seguro (IND)

13%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

7%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

6%

André Ventura (CH)

92%

PPSO

4%

PLN

<1%

Agenda Ciudadana

<1%

PUSC

84%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

11%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

3%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

1%

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes

89%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

10%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

<1%

National Citizen Party (NCP)

<1%

Jatiya Party (JP(E))

52%

RSP

26%

NC

14%

CPN-UML

11%

NCP

56%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

32%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

7%

Centro Democrático (CD)

4%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)

51%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

30%

Centro Democrático (CD)

7%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)

6%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)

70%

CDU

21%

SPD

10%

AfD

<1%

Grüne

50%

Emmanuel Grégoire

43%

Rachida Dati

6%

Sarah Knafo

2%

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

87%

CDU

7%

AfD

6%

The Greens

<1%

BSW

59%

Waddani

30%

No election before 2027

6%

Kulmiye

5%

Justice and Welfare (UCID)

51%

Rafael López Aliaga

16%

Keiko Fujimori

12%

Alfonso López Chau

7%

Carlos Álvarez

27%

FP

8%

PL

24%

AP

35%

APP

40%

RP

34%

APP

33%

SP

31%

PP

54%

Péter Magyar

47%

Viktor Orbán

<1%

László Toroczkai

<1%

Klára Dobrev

55%

TISZA

43%

Fidesz

<1%

Momentum

<1%

DK

44%

Iván Cepeda Castro

37%

Abelardo de la Espriella

10%

Paloma Valencia

6%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

90%

Park Chan-dae

3%

Yoo Jeong-bok

3%

Kim Kyo-heung

2%

Park Nam-choon

53%

Choo Mi-ae

37%

Kim Dong-yeon

7%

Yoo Seong-min

3%

Han Jun-ho

58%

Chong Won-oh

27%

Oh Se-hoon

8%

Na Kyung-won

6%

Park Ju-min

31%

Kim Jin-tae

4%

Kim Wan-seop

<1%

Lee Chul-gyu

<1%

Kweon Seong-dong

49%

Chun Jae-soo

54%

Park Heong-joon

<1%

Kim Do-eup

5%

Cho Kuk

91%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

8%

People Power Party (PPP)

<1%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)

<1%

Progressive Party (PP)

39%

Moon Jin-seok

35%

Park Soo-hyun

35%

Kang Hoon-sik

34%

Yoon Sang-hyun

27%

Cho Gil-hyeong

<1%

Song Ki-sub

22%

Shin Yong-han

4%

Kim Young-hwan

72%

Civil Contract

16%

Armenia Alliance

4%

I Have Honor Alliance

4%

Hanrapetutyun Party

92%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

8%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

<1%

Moderate Party (M)

<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)

41%

JV

25%

NA

29%

LPV

11%

SV

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

15%

Flávio Bolsonaro

14%

Tarcisio de Freitas

8%

Ratinho Júnior

70%

PQ

18%

PLQ

14%

CAQ

<1%

PCQ

78%

Democratic Party

23%

Republican Party

66%

Republican Party

35%

Democratic Party

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

13%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)

1%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)

34%

Gavin Newsom

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Josh Shapiro

5%

Pete Buttigieg

52%

J.D. Vance

17%

Marco Rubio

4%

Donald Trump

3%

Ron DeSantis

27%

JD Vance

19%

Gavin Newsom

10%

Marco Rubio

8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

75%

António José Seguro (IND)

17%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

8%

André Ventura (CH)

3%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

82%

United Russia (ER)

10%

New People (NL)

4%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

2%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

58%

People’s Party (PPLE)

39%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

3%

Pheu Thai Party (PT)

<1%

Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP)

44%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

28%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

16%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

6%

António José Seguro (IND)

48%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

26%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

13%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

12%

André Ventura (CH)

<1%

Mendes 6%+

<1%

Mendes 4-6%

<1%

Mendes 2-4%

1%

Mendes <2%

3%

<16%

1%

16%-18%

10%

18%-20%

13%

20%-22%

14%

<12%

22%

12%-14%

24%

14%-16%

22%

16%-18%

60%

<16%

16%

16%-18%

12%

18%-20%

5%

20%-22%

4%

<10%

3%

10%-12%

9%

12%-14%

16%

14%-16%

<1%

<12%

2%

12%-14%

9%

14%-16%

8%

16%-18%

51%

Manuel Saavedra

11%

Angélica Sosa

11%

Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine

11%

Jhonny Fernández

87%

BJP

5%

INC

2%

AITC

2%

CPI(M)

98%

United Russia (ER)

1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

<1%

Civic Platform (GP)

<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

51%

AITC

38%

BJP

9%

INC

6%

CPI

34%

Óscar Sogliano

34%

Waldo Albarracín

34%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque

33%

Iván Arias

70%

INC

28%

CPI(M)

1%

KEC(M)

<1%

BSP

61%

AINRC

13%

INC

6%

DMK

11%

ADMK

29%

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas

28%

Cecilia Calani

28%

Richard Moscoso

27%

Franz Tata García

75%

DMK

13%

ADMK

3%

NCP

1%

CPI

9%

<10

11%

10–12

38%

13–15

39%

16–18