Jerônimo Rodrigues secured re-election as Bahia governor in the October 4 first round with roughly 55.8 percent of valid votes, well above the 50 percent threshold, while ACM Neto received about 43.7 percent. Pre-election polls showed a tight race that tightened further in the final weeks, yet Rodrigues expanded his margin late in the campaign by linking his record to federal PT support and state-level continuity. The outcome extended the party's uninterrupted hold on the governorship since 2007. With results certified by the TSE and minimal outstanding procedural questions, trader pricing reflects near-certainty of this resolution absent any successful legal challenge.