The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), seeking re-election, and main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil). Recent polling from late August through mid-September shows the pair separated by only a few points or within margins of error across multiple firms, with results often flipping between slight leads for either candidate depending on the survey. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established party infrastructure, and consistent support in interior regions, while ACM Neto draws strength from his prior mayoral record in Salvador and a broad opposition coalition. Active campaigning, including joint events and mutual accusations over investigations, has kept the contest polarized ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus reflects this narrow positioning, with minor candidates registering negligible support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJerônimo Rodrigues 55%
ACM Neto 44%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$166,225 Vol.
$166,225 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Jerônimo Rodrigues
55%
ACM Neto
44%
João Roma
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 55%
ACM Neto 44%
João Roma <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$166,225 Vol.
$166,225 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$57,257 Vol.
55%
ACM Neto
$66,842 Vol.
44%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,988 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), seeking re-election, and main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil). Recent polling from late August through mid-September shows the pair separated by only a few points or within margins of error across multiple firms, with results often flipping between slight leads for either candidate depending on the survey. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established party infrastructure, and consistent support in interior regions, while ACM Neto draws strength from his prior mayoral record in Salvador and a broad opposition coalition. Active campaigning, including joint events and mutual accusations over investigations, has kept the contest polarized ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus reflects this narrow positioning, with minor candidates registering negligible support.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$166,225End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), seeking re-election, and main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil). Recent polling from late August through mid-September shows the pair separated by only a few points or within margins of error across multiple firms, with results often flipping between slight leads for either candidate depending on the survey. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established party infrastructure, and consistent support in interior regions, while ACM Neto draws strength from his prior mayoral record in Salvador and a broad opposition coalition. Active campaigning, including joint events and mutual accusations over investigations, has kept the contest polarized ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus reflects this narrow positioning, with minor candidates registering negligible support.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$166,225End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...The 2026 Bahia gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT), seeking re-election, and main challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil). Recent polling from late August through mid-September shows the pair separated by only a few points or within margins of error across multiple firms, with results often flipping between slight leads for either candidate depending on the survey. Jerônimo benefits from incumbency, established party infrastructure, and consistent support in interior regions, while ACM Neto draws strength from his prior mayoral record in Salvador and a broad opposition coalition. Active campaigning, including joint events and mutual accusations over investigations, has kept the contest polarized ahead of the October 4 first round. Trader consensus reflects this narrow positioning, with minor candidates registering negligible support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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