Recent polling in the Ceará gubernatorial race shows a tightening contest between incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) and former governor Ciro Gomes (PSDB) ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and others indicating technical ties or single-digit margins after earlier wider leads for Ciro. The narrowing reflects Elmano's gains in the interior and among PT-aligned voters, bolstered by Lula's planned campaign support, alongside Ciro's alliances with center-right parties and vice candidate Roberto Cláudio. High rejection rates for both contenders, low support for minor candidates like Eduardo Girão, and remaining undecided voters sustain the balance. Traders price the outcome near even, consistent with these late-stage dynamics and the potential for a runoff on October 25.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 52%
Elmano de Freitas 47%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$261,062 Vol.
$261,062 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Ciro Gomes
52%
Elmano de Freitas
47%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 52%
Elmano de Freitas 47%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$261,062 Vol.
$261,062 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Ciro Gomes
$119,780 Vol.
52%
Elmano de Freitas
$70,402 Vol.
47%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará gubernatorial race shows a tightening contest between incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) and former governor Ciro Gomes (PSDB) ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and others indicating technical ties or single-digit margins after earlier wider leads for Ciro. The narrowing reflects Elmano's gains in the interior and among PT-aligned voters, bolstered by Lula's planned campaign support, alongside Ciro's alliances with center-right parties and vice candidate Roberto Cláudio. High rejection rates for both contenders, low support for minor candidates like Eduardo Girão, and remaining undecided voters sustain the balance. Traders price the outcome near even, consistent with these late-stage dynamics and the potential for a runoff on October 25.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$261,062End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Ceará gubernatorial race shows a tightening contest between incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) and former governor Ciro Gomes (PSDB) ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and others indicating technical ties or single-digit margins after earlier wider leads for Ciro. The narrowing reflects Elmano's gains in the interior and among PT-aligned voters, bolstered by Lula's planned campaign support, alongside Ciro's alliances with center-right parties and vice candidate Roberto Cláudio. High rejection rates for both contenders, low support for minor candidates like Eduardo Girão, and remaining undecided voters sustain the balance. Traders price the outcome near even, consistent with these late-stage dynamics and the potential for a runoff on October 25.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$261,062End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Ceará gubernatorial race shows a tightening contest between incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) and former governor Ciro Gomes (PSDB) ahead of the October 4 first round, with surveys from AtlasIntel, Datafolha, and others indicating technical ties or single-digit margins after earlier wider leads for Ciro. The narrowing reflects Elmano's gains in the interior and among PT-aligned voters, bolstered by Lula's planned campaign support, alongside Ciro's alliances with center-right parties and vice candidate Roberto Cláudio. High rejection rates for both contenders, low support for minor candidates like Eduardo Girão, and remaining undecided voters sustain the balance. Traders price the outcome near even, consistent with these late-stage dynamics and the potential for a runoff on October 25.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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