Recent polling data positions Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with leads of 12–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys. Traders have priced this advantage into the 62.5% implied probability for Gomes, reflecting his prior governorship, high name recognition, and alignment with center-right forces seeking to challenge PT control. Freitas maintains a solid base through state programs and party machinery but trails amid voter sentiment favoring alternation. Lower-polling figures such as Senator Eduardo Girão trail far behind, consistent with their single-digit support in the same surveys. The race remains open to shifts from campaign alliances, economic conditions, or turnout patterns before the first-round vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Eduardo Girão 5.9%
Camilo Santana 3.8%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
29%
Eduardo Girão
6%
Camilo Santana
4%
Capitão Wagner
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Eduardo Girão 5.9%
Camilo Santana 3.8%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$38,604 Vol.
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$8,101 Vol.
29%
Eduardo Girão
$3,609 Vol.
6%
Camilo Santana
$3,418 Vol.
4%
Capitão Wagner
$5,212 Vol.
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,183 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling data positions Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with leads of 12–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys. Traders have priced this advantage into the 62.5% implied probability for Gomes, reflecting his prior governorship, high name recognition, and alignment with center-right forces seeking to challenge PT control. Freitas maintains a solid base through state programs and party machinery but trails amid voter sentiment favoring alternation. Lower-polling figures such as Senator Eduardo Girão trail far behind, consistent with their single-digit support in the same surveys. The race remains open to shifts from campaign alliances, economic conditions, or turnout patterns before the first-round vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$61,127Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling data positions Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with leads of 12–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys. Traders have priced this advantage into the 62.5% implied probability for Gomes, reflecting his prior governorship, high name recognition, and alignment with center-right forces seeking to challenge PT control. Freitas maintains a solid base through state programs and party machinery but trails amid voter sentiment favoring alternation. Lower-polling figures such as Senator Eduardo Girão trail far behind, consistent with their single-digit support in the same surveys. The race remains open to shifts from campaign alliances, economic conditions, or turnout patterns before the first-round vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$61,127Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling data positions Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with leads of 12–15 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in Datafolha and Ipsos-Ipec surveys. Traders have priced this advantage into the 62.5% implied probability for Gomes, reflecting his prior governorship, high name recognition, and alignment with center-right forces seeking to challenge PT control. Freitas maintains a solid base through state programs and party machinery but trails amid voter sentiment favoring alternation. Lower-polling figures such as Senator Eduardo Girão trail far behind, consistent with their single-digit support in the same surveys. The race remains open to shifts from campaign alliances, economic conditions, or turnout patterns before the first-round vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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