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Inauguration For Trump predictions & odds

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Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

27%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$629 Liq.

4

Ends in 14 days

Trump kiss by May 31?

Trump kiss by May 31?

18%

$2.3K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$386K today

$229K Liq.

473

Ends in about 1 month

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

29%

$156K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

49%

Starmer - UK PM

$352K Vol.

$267K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$11.5K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

8%

$26.5K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$204K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

10

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

99%

Trust

$10.8K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

62%

Nothing

$341K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

3%

Iran

$12M Vol.

$2M today

$614K Liq.

1,953

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends in over 2 years

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$392K Liq.

75

Ends in over 2 years

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

94%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$169 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

97%

December 31, 2026

$194K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$2M Vol.

$67.0K today

$606K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

51

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Inauguration For Trump that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $622.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: March”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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