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2024 Senate Primary predictions & odds

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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$312K Liq.

53

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

80%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$548K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

63%

Talarico & Paxton

$722K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

2

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

55%

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

$12.7K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary Winner

94%

Kevin Hern

$59.6K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner

99%

Mark Warner

$29.5K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

91%

Alexander Vindman

$139K Vol.

$47.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

71%

Ed Markey

$13.3K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

77%

Josh Turek

$21.9K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner

New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner

99%

Cory Booker

$9.9K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

91%

Charles Booker

$41.4K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner

86%

John Hickenlooper

$28.7K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary Winner

New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary Winner

89%

John E. Sununu

$5.4K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

74%

Marquita Bradshaw

$9.4K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

62%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$133K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

47%

Richard Tabor

$421K Vol.

$52.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner

Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner

96%

Ashley B. Moody

$14.3K Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Delaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Delaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner

95%

Chris Coons

$11.1K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

23%

Paxton 6–9%

$59.4K Vol.

$73.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 2024 Senate Primary.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for 2024 Senate Primary that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 62% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 2024 Senate Primary predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.