Trader consensus favors incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper at 71% implied probability to win Colorado's 2026 Democratic Senate primary, driven by his statewide name recognition from prior gubernatorial service, established fundraising network, and historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout primaries. State Senator Julie Gonzales holds 29% on momentum from her recent campaign launch, appealing to progressive voters critical of Hickenlooper's centrist stances on issues like Israel policy and criminal justice reform. Her entry has narrowed the gap since announcement, reflecting base enthusiasm amid Democratic internal tensions, while minor candidates like Anthony Zimpfer trail due to limited visibility. No major polls yet; watch early fundraising reports and endorsements ahead of the June primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedJohn Hickenlooper 71%
Julie Gonzales 28.9%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Michael Scanlon <1%
John Hickenlooper
71%
Julie Gonzales
29%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
Michael Scanlon
1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
John Hickenlooper 71%
Julie Gonzales 28.9%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Michael Scanlon <1%
John Hickenlooper
71%
Julie Gonzales
29%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
Michael Scanlon
1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors incumbent U.S. Senator John Hickenlooper at 71% implied probability to win Colorado's 2026 Democratic Senate primary, driven by his statewide name recognition from prior gubernatorial service, established fundraising network, and historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout primaries. State Senator Julie Gonzales holds 29% on momentum from her recent campaign launch, appealing to progressive voters critical of Hickenlooper's centrist stances on issues like Israel policy and criminal justice reform. Her entry has narrowed the gap since announcement, reflecting base enthusiasm amid Democratic internal tensions, while minor candidates like Anthony Zimpfer trail due to limited visibility. No major polls yet; watch early fundraising reports and endorsements ahead of the June primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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