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Recount predictions & odds

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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

6%

Lebanon

$336K Vol.

$79.2K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

19%

The Netherlands

$625K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

23%

$6.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

15%

$154K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC

41%

Draw (CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC)

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC

CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC

56%

CD Cuenca

$64 Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

US recognize Somaliland by...?

US recognize Somaliland by...?

7%

June 30

$11.5K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

53%

Trump Arc / Arc de Trump / Trump Arch

$3.6K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Liga Endesa: Winner

Liga Endesa: Winner

98%

Real Madrid

$1.2K Vol.

$45 Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

127

Ends in 8 months

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

14%

$28.4K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

25%

$41.8K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

11%

$3.9K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

9%

$579K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

23%

Paxton 6–9%

$59.3K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

100%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$522K Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

10

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$66.2K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

2

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

24%

Bass 0–5%

$6.6K Vol.

$81.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$78.2K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

39%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$14.9K Vol.

$92.7K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Recount.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Recount that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 11% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Recount predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.