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Electors predictions & odds

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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

43%

Freeport-McMoRan

$83.0K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$583M Vol.

$1M today

$30M Liq.

910

Ends in over 2 years

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$392K Liq.

75

Ends in over 2 years

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$111K Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

31

Ends in 6 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

72%

$39.4K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

29%

76-78%

$82 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

43%

$30.3K Vol.

$38.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$754K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

15

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

100%

70-75%

$261K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

31

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$11.5K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

55%

Likud

$2.8K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

62%

Republican

$116K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

14%

$21.3K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

49%

Javier Milei

$67.8K Vol.

$119K Liq.

16

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Electors.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Electors that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $590.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Electors predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.