Iowa's open Senate seat following Republican Joni Ernst's retirement after two terms has positioned the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the chamber since 2008. Recent June 2 primaries confirmed U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson as the GOP standard-bearer after a decisive primary win and state Representative Josh Turek as the Democratic nominee, setting up a general election on November 3 where Iowa's consistent Republican tilt in statewide races and voter patterns underpin trader consensus. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as leaning Republican, with the implied probability reflecting the structural advantages for the GOP candidate in this battleground-turned-leaning state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
$120,161 Объем
$120,161 Объем

Республиканец
61%

Демократ
40%
$120,161 Объем
$120,161 Объем

Республиканец
61%

Демократ
40%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat following Republican Joni Ernst's retirement after two terms has positioned the Republican nominee as the clear favorite in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the chamber since 2008. Recent June 2 primaries confirmed U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson as the GOP standard-bearer after a decisive primary win and state Representative Josh Turek as the Democratic nominee, setting up a general election on November 3 where Iowa's consistent Republican tilt in statewide races and voter patterns underpin trader consensus. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as leaning Republican, with the implied probability reflecting the structural advantages for the GOP candidate in this battleground-turned-leaning state.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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