Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus at 94.3% for the Democratic nominee, stems from consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including University of New Hampshire surveys from mid-February showing her ahead 55-58% against top Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Michael Minogue, and Brian Shortsleeve, who polled 27-28%. Healey faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the September 1 primaries, bolstered by her strong approval ratings in the deep-blue state, where Democrats have dominated statewide offices. The fragmented GOP field, with Minogue leading a February Pulse Decision Science primary poll at 29%, must first clear the April Republican state convention's 15% delegate threshold for ballot access. While scandals, economic shocks, or a national Republican wave could narrow the gap, historical incumbency advantages and polling trends make an upset unlikely absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Массачусетса
Победитель выборов губернатора Массачусетса
$12,699 Объем
$12,699 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
6%
$12,699 Объем
$12,699 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey's commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus at 94.3% for the Democratic nominee, stems from consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, including University of New Hampshire surveys from mid-February showing her ahead 55-58% against top Republican challengers Mike Kennealy, Michael Minogue, and Brian Shortsleeve, who polled 27-28%. Healey faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the September 1 primaries, bolstered by her strong approval ratings in the deep-blue state, where Democrats have dominated statewide offices. The fragmented GOP field, with Minogue leading a February Pulse Decision Science primary poll at 29%, must first clear the April Republican state convention's 15% delegate threshold for ballot access. While scandals, economic shocks, or a national Republican wave could narrow the gap, historical incumbency advantages and polling trends make an upset unlikely absent major shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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