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Electoral Votes: Politics predictions & odds

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Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

25%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

91%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$35.2K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

18

Ends in 1 day

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$411K Liq.

75

Ends in over 2 years

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

87%

$2.7K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$588M Vol.

$3M today

$31M Liq.

930

Ends in over 2 years

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

71%

$39.4K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

46%

Labour 0-5%

$0 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

16%

Democrats 8-10%

$35.8K Vol.

$176K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$11.5K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

47%

Labour Party 5-10%

$5.2K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

47%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$90.6K today

$735K Liq.

181

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

11%

$15.5K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

18%

$21.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

41%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$384 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$74.1K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$4.7K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$84.1K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$503 Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Electoral Votes: Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $596.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 19% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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