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Electoral Fraud predictions & odds

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Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

14%

$21.3K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

2%

$100K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

34

Ends in about 1 month

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

46%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$56.9K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$79.5K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$760K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

15

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

27%

$156K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

71%

$39.4K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

85%

Morena

$2.4K Vol.

$174K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

100%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$522K Vol.

$133K Liq.

10

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

47%

Labour 0-5%

$0 Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$112K Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

32

Ends in 6 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

100%

70-75%

$268K Vol.

$61.6K Liq.

31

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$78M Vol.

$719K today

$7M Liq.

7,103

Ends in 5 months

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

29%

76-78%

$82 Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

28%

$12.1K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

23

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

32%

Romeu Zema

$282K Vol.

$259K Liq.

46

Ends in 5 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

41%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$87 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

93%

Labour Party

$72.6K Vol.

$96.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Electoral Fraud.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Electoral Fraud that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $80.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Electoral Fraud predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.