How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 6-12)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 6-12)

35%

40-49

$305 Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

51%

<3

$106 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 6 2026?

50%

↑ $3.00

$1 Vol.

$59 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

52%

25+

$5.9K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

$194K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

30%

$1M Vol.

$65.3K Liq.

43

Ends in 10 months

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of April 6 2026?

49%

↑ $675

$75 Vol.

$139 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

88%

2

$178K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

38%

<4m sq km

$29.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

36%

$330K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

43%

1.25–1.29ºC

$259K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$314K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

35%

160-179

$27.0K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

38%

180-199

$8.4K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of April 6 2026?

50%

↑ $138

$0 Vol.

$36 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of April 6 2026?

68%

↓ $208

$47 Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of April 6 2026?

50%

↓ $73

$0 Vol.

$76 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of April 6 2026?

70%

↓ $176

$182 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

47%

5.0%

$348K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$38.4K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 12 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 6 More Weeks Of Winter.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for 6 More Weeks Of Winter that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 6-12)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US recession by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 71% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 6 More Weeks Of Winter predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.