Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport station (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, reached 78-79°F, as detailed in the preliminary daily climatological report (CLI) issued overnight, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning temperatures started in the 50s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds fostering moderate warming, peaking mid-afternoon before incoming storms and increased cloud cover capped further rises, aligning with forecast model consensus from NOAA sources. This positioning reflects the reliability of ASOS observations, with historical April 4 normals around 77°F. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a verified sensor malfunction or post-audit revision by NWS climatologists could shift it, though quality controls make this improbable; watch for the monthly climate summary next week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on April 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 4?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$105,015 Vol.
$105,015 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$105,015 Vol.
$105,015 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
71°F or below
$3,403 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$6,996 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,746 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$12,795 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$35,741 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$7,549 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,963 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$6,859 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$5,733 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,892 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$6,338 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport station (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, reached 78-79°F, as detailed in the preliminary daily climatological report (CLI) issued overnight, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning temperatures started in the 50s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds fostering moderate warming, peaking mid-afternoon before incoming storms and increased cloud cover capped further rises, aligning with forecast model consensus from NOAA sources. This positioning reflects the reliability of ASOS observations, with historical April 4 normals around 77°F. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a verified sensor malfunction or post-audit revision by NWS climatologists could shift it, though quality controls make this improbable; watch for the monthly climate summary next week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$105,015End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport station (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, reached 78-79°F, as detailed in the preliminary daily climatological report (CLI) issued overnight, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning temperatures started in the 50s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds fostering moderate warming, peaking mid-afternoon before incoming storms and increased cloud cover capped further rises, aligning with forecast model consensus from NOAA sources. This positioning reflects the reliability of ASOS observations, with historical April 4 normals around 77°F. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a verified sensor malfunction or post-audit revision by NWS climatologists could shift it, though quality controls make this improbable; watch for the monthly climate summary next week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$105,015End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport station (KAUS) confirms the highest temperature on April 4, 2026, reached 78-79°F, as detailed in the preliminary daily climatological report (CLI) issued overnight, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Morning temperatures started in the 50s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds fostering moderate warming, peaking mid-afternoon before incoming storms and increased cloud cover capped further rises, aligning with forecast model consensus from NOAA sources. This positioning reflects the reliability of ASOS observations, with historical April 4 normals around 77°F. Realistic challenges are negligible—only a verified sensor malfunction or post-audit revision by NWS climatologists could shift it, though quality controls make this improbable; watch for the monthly climate summary next week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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