Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Denver on April 8, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting sunny skies and highs near 65-67°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This positioning reflects downslope winds and minimal cloud cover following a recent rebound from cooler early-April air masses, with ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF showing tight agreement above 60°F. April climatological normals hover around 60°F, aligning with this outlook. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of cooler Pacific air or persistent low-level clouds, potentially capping peaks below 56°F, though current runs deem this unlikely; watch for updated 12z model outputs on April 6.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 8?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 8?
56°F or higher 96.4%
52-53°F 1.4%
48-49°F 1.4%
50-51°F 1.0%
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56°F or higher
96%
56°F or higher 96.4%
52-53°F 1.4%
48-49°F 1.4%
50-51°F 1.0%
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 56°F or higher in Denver on April 8, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting sunny skies and highs near 65-67°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This positioning reflects downslope winds and minimal cloud cover following a recent rebound from cooler early-April air masses, with ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF showing tight agreement above 60°F. April climatological normals hover around 60°F, aligning with this outlook. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of cooler Pacific air or persistent low-level clouds, potentially capping peaks below 56°F, though current runs deem this unlikely; watch for updated 12z model outputs on April 6.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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