MetService's latest April 3 afternoon update forecasts a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 amid partly cloudy skies, northerlies turning southeasterly, and a chance of afternoon showers, closely matching trader-implied odds favoring 18°C (32.5%) and 19°C (28%). Persistent northerly winds, drawing warmer air from the north, support these mild autumn temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, with recent days logging highs near 19-20°C. Key differentiators include shower development and cloud cover timing—earlier onshore flow could cap peaks at 18°C via reduced solar insolation, while delays enable 19°C—reflecting typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty in ensemble models. Watch for MetService's April 4 morning revision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
18°C 34%
19°C 29%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
$11,699 Vol.
$11,699 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
34%
19°C
29%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
7%
18°C 34%
19°C 29%
20°C 15%
17°C 14%
$11,699 Vol.
$11,699 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
11°C or below
$2,804 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,119 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$976 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$764 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,044 Vol.
5%
17°C
$573 Vol.
14%
18°C
$824 Vol.
34%
19°C
$649 Vol.
29%
20°C
$679 Vol.
15%
21°C or higher
$1,142 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest April 3 afternoon update forecasts a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 amid partly cloudy skies, northerlies turning southeasterly, and a chance of afternoon showers, closely matching trader-implied odds favoring 18°C (32.5%) and 19°C (28%). Persistent northerly winds, drawing warmer air from the north, support these mild autumn temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, with recent days logging highs near 19-20°C. Key differentiators include shower development and cloud cover timing—earlier onshore flow could cap peaks at 18°C via reduced solar insolation, while delays enable 19°C—reflecting typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty in ensemble models. Watch for MetService's April 4 morning revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,699End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest April 3 afternoon update forecasts a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 amid partly cloudy skies, northerlies turning southeasterly, and a chance of afternoon showers, closely matching trader-implied odds favoring 18°C (32.5%) and 19°C (28%). Persistent northerly winds, drawing warmer air from the north, support these mild autumn temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, with recent days logging highs near 19-20°C. Key differentiators include shower development and cloud cover timing—earlier onshore flow could cap peaks at 18°C via reduced solar insolation, while delays enable 19°C—reflecting typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty in ensemble models. Watch for MetService's April 4 morning revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,699End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest April 3 afternoon update forecasts a 19°C high for Wellington on April 5 amid partly cloudy skies, northerlies turning southeasterly, and a chance of afternoon showers, closely matching trader-implied odds favoring 18°C (32.5%) and 19°C (28%). Persistent northerly winds, drawing warmer air from the north, support these mild autumn temperatures above the April climatological average of 17°C, with recent days logging highs near 19-20°C. Key differentiators include shower development and cloud cover timing—earlier onshore flow could cap peaks at 18°C via reduced solar insolation, while delays enable 19°C—reflecting typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty in ensemble models. Watch for MetService's April 4 morning revision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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