Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$207,689 Vol.
$207,689 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$207,689 Vol.
$207,689 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$15,031 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,702 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,338 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,384 Vol.
No
20°C
$18,954 Vol.
No
21°C
$51,141 Vol.
No
22°C
$21,386 Vol.
No
23°C
$21,424 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$14,467 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,608 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$21,253 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$207,689End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$207,689End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official hourly observations from Beijing Capital International Airport's automated weather station, aggregated on Weather Underground, record the highest temperature of 23°C on April 3, 2026, peaking at 73°F (22.8°C, rounded to nearest degree) around 2 PM local time amid hazy conditions, 15% humidity, and gusty westerly winds up to 40 mph that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 100% implied probability on 23°C, aligning with China Meteorological Administration pre-day forecasts of 22°C highs under persistent high-pressure ridges fostering early spring warming above the 20°C April average. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data audits uncovering higher sensor readings, though finalized synoptic reports render such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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