Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting forecast model uncertainty in early spring transitional weather. A persistent high-pressure ridge dominated late March, stabilizing daytime highs at 20–22°C with partly cloudy skies and moderate solar insolation, per recent observations. Current GFS and ECMWF ensembles project similar mild conditions with southerly winds at 5–15 mph boosting slight warming potential to 22°C in sunnier members, while cloudier runs and 50%+ precipitation odds favor 16–19°C outcomes. Beijing's climatological April average high nears 20°C, but northerly cold air intrusions remain a key variable; watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
19°C 22%
16°C or below 22%
20°C 21%
18°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
22%
17°C
18%
18°C
19%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
18%
22°C
19%
23°C
13%
24°C
14%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
8%
19°C 22%
16°C or below 22%
20°C 21%
18°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
16°C or below
$8 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
13%
26°C or higher
$68 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting forecast model uncertainty in early spring transitional weather. A persistent high-pressure ridge dominated late March, stabilizing daytime highs at 20–22°C with partly cloudy skies and moderate solar insolation, per recent observations. Current GFS and ECMWF ensembles project similar mild conditions with southerly winds at 5–15 mph boosting slight warming potential to 22°C in sunnier members, while cloudier runs and 50%+ precipitation odds favor 16–19°C outcomes. Beijing's climatological April average high nears 20°C, but northerly cold air intrusions remain a key variable; watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Volume
$76End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting forecast model uncertainty in early spring transitional weather. A persistent high-pressure ridge dominated late March, stabilizing daytime highs at 20–22°C with partly cloudy skies and moderate solar insolation, per recent observations. Current GFS and ECMWF ensembles project similar mild conditions with southerly winds at 5–15 mph boosting slight warming potential to 22°C in sunnier members, while cloudier runs and 50%+ precipitation odds favor 16–19°C outcomes. Beijing's climatological April average high nears 20°C, but northerly cold air intrusions remain a key variable; watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 19–22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 3, reflecting forecast model uncertainty in early spring transitional weather. A persistent high-pressure ridge dominated late March, stabilizing daytime highs at 20–22°C with partly cloudy skies and moderate solar insolation, per recent observations. Current GFS and ECMWF ensembles project similar mild conditions with southerly winds at 5–15 mph boosting slight warming potential to 22°C in sunnier members, while cloudier runs and 50%+ precipitation odds favor 16–19°C outcomes. Beijing's climatological April average high nears 20°C, but northerly cold air intrusions remain a key variable; watch daily China Meteorological Administration updates and 00Z model refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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