India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's highest temperature reached 34.5°C on April 7, 2026, at the airport station—2.7°C below normal—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 34°C outcome amid real-money positioning. Partly cloudy skies, morning humidity around 56%, trace rainfall, and evening thunderstorms from a lingering western disturbance sharply limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping daytime peaks well under early-April climatological averages of 37–39°C. Model forecasts from IMD aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting atmospheric stability over the Gangetic Plains. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon clearance boosting temperatures above 35°C before sunset or a peripheral station recording a higher outlier, though current data at 17:30 IST (32.8°C) and resolution criteria tied to primary Lucknow gauges make shifts improbable. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 7?
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$82,703 Vol.
$82,703 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
33°C or below
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$82,703 Vol.
$82,703 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
33°C or below
$33,560 Vol.
No
34°C
$10,487 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$11,492 Vol.
No
36°C
$7,364 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,986 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,449 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,192 Vol.
No
40°C
$2,022 Vol.
No
41°C
$2,232 Vol.
No
42°C
$2,972 Vol.
No
43°C or higher
$1,946 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's highest temperature reached 34.5°C on April 7, 2026, at the airport station—2.7°C below normal—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 34°C outcome amid real-money positioning. Partly cloudy skies, morning humidity around 56%, trace rainfall, and evening thunderstorms from a lingering western disturbance sharply limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping daytime peaks well under early-April climatological averages of 37–39°C. Model forecasts from IMD aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting atmospheric stability over the Gangetic Plains. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon clearance boosting temperatures above 35°C before sunset or a peripheral station recording a higher outlier, though current data at 17:30 IST (32.8°C) and resolution criteria tied to primary Lucknow gauges make shifts improbable. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$82,703End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's highest temperature reached 34.5°C on April 7, 2026, at the airport station—2.7°C below normal—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 34°C outcome amid real-money positioning. Partly cloudy skies, morning humidity around 56%, trace rainfall, and evening thunderstorms from a lingering western disturbance sharply limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping daytime peaks well under early-April climatological averages of 37–39°C. Model forecasts from IMD aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting atmospheric stability over the Gangetic Plains. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon clearance boosting temperatures above 35°C before sunset or a peripheral station recording a higher outlier, though current data at 17:30 IST (32.8°C) and resolution criteria tied to primary Lucknow gauges make shifts improbable. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$82,703End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's highest temperature reached 34.5°C on April 7, 2026, at the airport station—2.7°C below normal—driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 34°C outcome amid real-money positioning. Partly cloudy skies, morning humidity around 56%, trace rainfall, and evening thunderstorms from a lingering western disturbance sharply limited solar insolation and convective heating, capping daytime peaks well under early-April climatological averages of 37–39°C. Model forecasts from IMD aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting atmospheric stability over the Gangetic Plains. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon clearance boosting temperatures above 35°C before sunset or a peripheral station recording a higher outlier, though current data at 17:30 IST (32.8°C) and resolution criteria tied to primary Lucknow gauges make shifts improbable. Final IMD bulletin expected soon will lock resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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