Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 33°C or below, driven by the influence of a second western disturbance forecasted by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring scattered light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms, and gusty winds over Uttar Pradesh around that date. This follows recent cooler trends, with Lucknow's maxima capped at 37-38°C over the past week despite rising seasonal norms, due to persistent cloud cover suppressing solar insolation and daytime heating. IMD's latest short-range model projects a 36°C peak under mainly clear skies turning partly cloudy—matching its 20% implied odds—but acknowledges uncertainty in disturbance intensity, with daily forecast updates expected through resolution. Historical early-April highs average 36°C, but analogous wet spells have lowered peaks by 3-5°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 7?
33°C or below 47%
36°C 25%
34°C 21%
35°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
33°C or below
41%
34°C
21%
35°C
18%
36°C
20%
37°C
16%
38°C
10%
39°C
5%
40°C
4%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
33°C or below 47%
36°C 25%
34°C 21%
35°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
33°C or below
$41 Vol.
41%
34°C
$8 Vol.
21%
35°C
$0 Vol.
18%
36°C
$11 Vol.
20%
37°C
$5 Vol.
16%
38°C
$9 Vol.
10%
39°C
$191 Vol.
5%
40°C
$279 Vol.
4%
41°C
$250 Vol.
3%
42°C
$278 Vol.
1%
43°C or higher
$295 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 33°C or below, driven by the influence of a second western disturbance forecasted by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring scattered light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms, and gusty winds over Uttar Pradesh around that date. This follows recent cooler trends, with Lucknow's maxima capped at 37-38°C over the past week despite rising seasonal norms, due to persistent cloud cover suppressing solar insolation and daytime heating. IMD's latest short-range model projects a 36°C peak under mainly clear skies turning partly cloudy—matching its 20% implied odds—but acknowledges uncertainty in disturbance intensity, with daily forecast updates expected through resolution. Historical early-April highs average 36°C, but analogous wet spells have lowered peaks by 3-5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,367End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 33°C or below, driven by the influence of a second western disturbance forecasted by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring scattered light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms, and gusty winds over Uttar Pradesh around that date. This follows recent cooler trends, with Lucknow's maxima capped at 37-38°C over the past week despite rising seasonal norms, due to persistent cloud cover suppressing solar insolation and daytime heating. IMD's latest short-range model projects a 36°C peak under mainly clear skies turning partly cloudy—matching its 20% implied odds—but acknowledges uncertainty in disturbance intensity, with daily forecast updates expected through resolution. Historical early-April highs average 36°C, but analogous wet spells have lowered peaks by 3-5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,367End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 40.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 7 to reach 33°C or below, driven by the influence of a second western disturbance forecasted by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring scattered light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms, and gusty winds over Uttar Pradesh around that date. This follows recent cooler trends, with Lucknow's maxima capped at 37-38°C over the past week despite rising seasonal norms, due to persistent cloud cover suppressing solar insolation and daytime heating. IMD's latest short-range model projects a 36°C peak under mainly clear skies turning partly cloudy—matching its 20% implied odds—but acknowledges uncertainty in disturbance intensity, with daily forecast updates expected through resolution. Historical early-April highs average 36°C, but analogous wet spells have lowered peaks by 3-5°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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