Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by finalized Weather Underground observations showing a peak of 61°F (16.1°C) at 3:00–3:30 PM local time under clear skies and light southerly winds up to 13 mph. Hourly data confirms steady warming from 30°F morning lows to this maximum before evening cooldown to 48°F, aligning with China Meteorological Administration monitoring and cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow remnants. While revisions to official records are rare post-finalization, an unlikely upward adjustment from preliminary airport METAR reports could challenge this if higher readings emerge from quality-controlled data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 7?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$167,371 Vol.
$167,371 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$167,371 Vol.
$167,371 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
13°C or below
$22,915 Vol.
No
14°C
$28,373 Vol.
No
15°C
$29,520 Vol.
No
16°C
$17,418 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$12,097 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,277 Vol.
No
19°C
$15,170 Vol.
No
20°C
$18,171 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,453 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,421 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$4,556 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by finalized Weather Underground observations showing a peak of 61°F (16.1°C) at 3:00–3:30 PM local time under clear skies and light southerly winds up to 13 mph. Hourly data confirms steady warming from 30°F morning lows to this maximum before evening cooldown to 48°F, aligning with China Meteorological Administration monitoring and cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow remnants. While revisions to official records are rare post-finalization, an unlikely upward adjustment from preliminary airport METAR reports could challenge this if higher readings emerge from quality-controlled data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
Volume
$167,371End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by finalized Weather Underground observations showing a peak of 61°F (16.1°C) at 3:00–3:30 PM local time under clear skies and light southerly winds up to 13 mph. Hourly data confirms steady warming from 30°F morning lows to this maximum before evening cooldown to 48°F, aligning with China Meteorological Administration monitoring and cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow remnants. While revisions to official records are rare post-finalization, an unlikely upward adjustment from preliminary airport METAR reports could challenge this if higher readings emerge from quality-controlled data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$167,371End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:20 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, backed by finalized Weather Underground observations showing a peak of 61°F (16.1°C) at 3:00–3:30 PM local time under clear skies and light southerly winds up to 13 mph. Hourly data confirms steady warming from 30°F morning lows to this maximum before evening cooldown to 48°F, aligning with China Meteorological Administration monitoring and cooler-than-average April conditions influenced by northerly airflow remnants. While revisions to official records are rare post-finalization, an unlikely upward adjustment from preliminary airport METAR reports could challenge this if higher readings emerge from quality-controlled data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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