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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

22°C 25%

21°C 23%

23°C 21%

20°C 17%

Polymarket
NEW

22°C 25%

21°C 23%

23°C 21%

20°C 17%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C or below

$109 Vol.

5%

18°C

$77 Vol.

7%

19°C

$148 Vol.

3%

20°C

$47 Vol.

17%

21°C

$64 Vol.

23%

22°C

$60 Vol.

25%

23°C

$48 Vol.

17%

24°C

$60 Vol.

12%

25°C

$45 Vol.

12%

26°C

$53 Vol.

10%

27°C or higher

$78 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project a daytime high near 22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4, driving closely matched trader consensus on 21°C (26%) and 22°C (25.5%) with 51.5% combined implied probability amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Morning thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, as indicated by current guidance, are expected to cap temperatures below seasonal early-April averages of 23°C through enhanced sea breeze effects from the nearby Atlantic and Río de la Plata. Key differentiators include timing of clearing skies—prolonged overcast favoring 20-21°C versus afternoon sunshine pushing toward 23-24°C—and subtle frontal influences typical of autumn transitions. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 2-3 will sharpen these probabilities ahead of Aeroparque station resolution.

Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project a daytime high near 22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4, driving closely matched trader consensus on 21°C (26%) and 22°C (25.5%) with 51.5% combined implied probability amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Morning thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, as indicated by current guidance, are expected to cap temperatures below seasonal early-April averages of 23°C through enhanced sea breeze effects from the nearby Atlantic and Río de la Plata. Key differentiators include timing of clearing skies—prolonged overcast favoring 20-21°C versus afternoon sunshine pushing toward 23-24°C—and subtle frontal influences typical of autumn transitions. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 2-3 will sharpen these probabilities ahead of Aeroparque station resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project a daytime high near 22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4, driving closely matched trader consensus on 21°C (26%) and 22°C (25.5%) with 51.5% combined implied probability amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Morning thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, as indicated by current guidance, are expected to cap temperatures below seasonal early-April averages of 23°C through enhanced sea breeze effects from the nearby Atlantic and Río de la Plata. Key differentiators include timing of clearing skies—prolonged overcast favoring 20-21°C versus afternoon sunshine pushing toward 23-24°C—and subtle frontal influences typical of autumn transitions. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 2-3 will sharpen these probabilities ahead of Aeroparque station resolution.

Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles project a daytime high near 22°C for Buenos Aires on April 4, driving closely matched trader consensus on 21°C (26%) and 22°C (25.5%) with 51.5% combined implied probability amid inherent forecast uncertainty. Morning thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover, as indicated by current guidance, are expected to cap temperatures below seasonal early-April averages of 23°C through enhanced sea breeze effects from the nearby Atlantic and Río de la Plata. Key differentiators include timing of clearing skies—prolonged overcast favoring 20-21°C versus afternoon sunshine pushing toward 23-24°C—and subtle frontal influences typical of autumn transitions. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and new model runs through April 2-3 will sharpen these probabilities ahead of Aeroparque station resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "22°C" at 25%, followed by "21°C" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?" is "22°C" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21°C" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.