Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?

Mar 29

Apr 2

Mar 29

Apr 2

28°C 31%

29°C 25%

27°C 18%

32°C 12.2%

Polymarket
NEW

28°C 31%

29°C 25%

27°C 18%

32°C 12.2%

Polymarket
NEW

23°C or below

$1,220 Vol.

4%

24°C

$695 Vol.

7%

25°C

$643 Vol.

6%

26°C

$815 Vol.

11%

27°C

$582 Vol.

18%

28°C

$717 Vol.

31%

29°C

$779 Vol.

25%

30°C

$720 Vol.

12%

31°C

$922 Vol.

10%

32°C

$844 Vol.

12%

33°C or higher

$1,081 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in Buenos Aires' April 2 high temperature, with 28°C (27.5% implied probability) edging 29°C (25%) amid a tight cluster around 27–30°C, driven by persistent above-normal warmth forecasted by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Recent SMN bulletins highlight an atypical autumn with temperatures exceeding seasonal norms—April averages ~23°C—due to a dominant subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and strong diurnal heating, as seen in March's warm spell. Divergent GFS and ECMWF model runs differentiate outcomes: GFS leans warmer with robust 500 hPa height anomalies, while ECMWF tempers peaks via potential convective showers or sea-breeze moderation. Daily forecast updates from SMN's 7-day outlook, due shortly, will clarify boundary-layer dynamics and cloud cover impacts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in Buenos Aires' April 2 high temperature, with 28°C (27.5% implied probability) edging 29°C (25%) amid a tight cluster around 27–30°C, driven by persistent above-normal warmth forecasted by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Recent SMN bulletins highlight an atypical autumn with temperatures exceeding seasonal norms—April averages ~23°C—due to a dominant subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and strong diurnal heating, as seen in March's warm spell. Divergent GFS and ECMWF model runs differentiate outcomes: GFS leans warmer with robust 500 hPa height anomalies, while ECMWF tempers peaks via potential convective showers or sea-breeze moderation. Daily forecast updates from SMN's 7-day outlook, due shortly, will clarify boundary-layer dynamics and cloud cover impacts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in Buenos Aires' April 2 high temperature, with 28°C (27.5% implied probability) edging 29°C (25%) amid a tight cluster around 27–30°C, driven by persistent above-normal warmth forecasted by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Recent SMN bulletins highlight an atypical autumn with temperatures exceeding seasonal norms—April averages ~23°C—due to a dominant subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and strong diurnal heating, as seen in March's warm spell. Divergent GFS and ECMWF model runs differentiate outcomes: GFS leans warmer with robust 500 hPa height anomalies, while ECMWF tempers peaks via potential convective showers or sea-breeze moderation. Daily forecast updates from SMN's 7-day outlook, due shortly, will clarify boundary-layer dynamics and cloud cover impacts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects heightened uncertainty in Buenos Aires' April 2 high temperature, with 28°C (27.5% implied probability) edging 29°C (25%) amid a tight cluster around 27–30°C, driven by persistent above-normal warmth forecasted by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Recent SMN bulletins highlight an atypical autumn with temperatures exceeding seasonal norms—April averages ~23°C—due to a dominant subtropical ridge fostering clear skies and strong diurnal heating, as seen in March's warm spell. Divergent GFS and ECMWF model runs differentiate outcomes: GFS leans warmer with robust 500 hPa height anomalies, while ECMWF tempers peaks via potential convective showers or sea-breeze moderation. Daily forecast updates from SMN's 7-day outlook, due shortly, will clarify boundary-layer dynamics and cloud cover impacts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

75%
Market icon

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

41%
Market icon

Will the US deport illegal migrants to Argentina by March 31?

1%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 31%, followed by "29°C" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?" is "28°C" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.