Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 32°C (39.5%) over 33°C (35.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, capturing genuine uncertainty in National Environment Agency (NEA) forecasts amid equatorial inter-monsoon conditions. NEA's latest advisory projects a 33°C maximum with thundery showers, but ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly due to variable afternoon convection, sea breezes, and urban heat island amplification in the city-state. March climatology averages 31-33°C highs, with recent days hitting 35°C on March 25 before moderating. Hourly updates from NEA today could resolve model discrepancies as observations refine the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on March 29?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 29?
32°C 40%
33°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 5%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
40%
33°C
34%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 40%
33°C 34%
31°C 14%
34°C 5%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
40%
33°C
34%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 32°C (39.5%) over 33°C (35.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, capturing genuine uncertainty in National Environment Agency (NEA) forecasts amid equatorial inter-monsoon conditions. NEA's latest advisory projects a 33°C maximum with thundery showers, but ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge slightly due to variable afternoon convection, sea breezes, and urban heat island amplification in the city-state. March climatology averages 31-33°C highs, with recent days hitting 35°C on March 25 before moderating. Hourly updates from NEA today could resolve model discrepancies as observations refine the peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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