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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

27°C 29%

25°C or below 27%

28°C 24%

26°C 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,053 Vol.

27°C 29%

25°C or below 27%

28°C 24%

26°C 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,053 Vol.

25°C or below

$5,337 Vol.

27%

26°C

$1,520 Vol.

24%

27°C

$998 Vol.

29%

28°C

$1,330 Vol.

24%

29°C

$1,135 Vol.

4%

30°C

$1,158 Vol.

2%

31°C

$537 Vol.

1%

32°C

$601 Vol.

<1%

33°C

$423 Vol.

<1%

34°C

$437 Vol.

<1%

35°C or higher

$660 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei daytime highs of 21–29°C on March 30 under mostly clear skies with just a 10% chance of precipitation, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly around 25–27°C after yesterday's milder 23–25°C maximum amid recovery from an early-month cold snap. The close odds reflect inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential afternoon sea breeze moderation, and isolated evening showers that could cap peak heating—typically occurring 2–4 p.m. local time—while urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin might push toward the upper end. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread in the mid-20s, with intraday observations from Taoyuan International Airport station pivotal for resolution as solar insolation builds.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei daytime highs of 21–29°C on March 30 under mostly clear skies with just a 10% chance of precipitation, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly around 25–27°C after yesterday's milder 23–25°C maximum amid recovery from an early-month cold snap. The close odds reflect inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential afternoon sea breeze moderation, and isolated evening showers that could cap peak heating—typically occurring 2–4 p.m. local time—while urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin might push toward the upper end. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread in the mid-20s, with intraday observations from Taoyuan International Airport station pivotal for resolution as solar insolation builds.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei daytime highs of 21–29°C on March 30 under mostly clear skies with just a 10% chance of precipitation, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly around 25–27°C after yesterday's milder 23–25°C maximum amid recovery from an early-month cold snap. The close odds reflect inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential afternoon sea breeze moderation, and isolated evening showers that could cap peak heating—typically occurring 2–4 p.m. local time—while urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin might push toward the upper end. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread in the mid-20s, with intraday observations from Taoyuan International Airport station pivotal for resolution as solar insolation builds.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei daytime highs of 21–29°C on March 30 under mostly clear skies with just a 10% chance of precipitation, fueling trader sentiment clustered tightly around 25–27°C after yesterday's milder 23–25°C maximum amid recovery from an early-month cold snap. The close odds reflect inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential afternoon sea breeze moderation, and isolated evening showers that could cap peak heating—typically occurring 2–4 p.m. local time—while urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin might push toward the upper end. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread in the mid-20s, with intraday observations from Taoyuan International Airport station pivotal for resolution as solar insolation builds.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 28%, followed by "25°C or below" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" is "27°C" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C or below" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.