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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

27°C 96.5%

28°C 2.3%

29°C or higher 1.1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$113,341 Vol.

27°C 96.5%

28°C 2.3%

29°C or higher 1.1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$113,341 Vol.

19°C or below

$6,043 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$3,152 Vol.

<1%

21°C

$7,672 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$4,176 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$7,460 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$9,403 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$17,414 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$17,358 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$17,104 Vol.

97%

28°C

$14,902 Vol.

2%

29°C or higher

$9,921 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a daily high of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and severe squally thunderstorms from a nearby trough of low pressure, driving trader consensus to 97.3% implied probability for this outcome. Current observations confirm this, with the Observatory reaching 27°C by 1 p.m. HKT amid 66% relative humidity and a thunderstorm warning, while select stations like Tseung Kwan O hit 29°C briefly but align with the forecast's upper bound given south winds and high rainfall probability. This reflects spring climatology of normal to above-normal temperatures, though inherent model uncertainty persists; sunnier breaks post-thunderstorms or reduced cloud cover could push toward 28°C before evening cooling, with next update at 16:30 HKT providing clarity as the day resolves.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a daily high of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and severe squally thunderstorms from a nearby trough of low pressure, driving trader consensus to 97.3% implied probability for this outcome. Current observations confirm this, with the Observatory reaching 27°C by 1 p.m. HKT amid 66% relative humidity and a thunderstorm warning, while select stations like Tseung Kwan O hit 29°C briefly but align with the forecast's upper bound given south winds and high rainfall probability. This reflects spring climatology of normal to above-normal temperatures, though inherent model uncertainty persists; sunnier breaks post-thunderstorms or reduced cloud cover could push toward 28°C before evening cooling, with next update at 16:30 HKT providing clarity as the day resolves.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a daily high of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and severe squally thunderstorms from a nearby trough of low pressure, driving trader consensus to 97.3% implied probability for this outcome. Current observations confirm this, with the Observatory reaching 27°C by 1 p.m. HKT amid 66% relative humidity and a thunderstorm warning, while select stations like Tseung Kwan O hit 29°C briefly but align with the forecast's upper bound given south winds and high rainfall probability. This reflects spring climatology of normal to above-normal temperatures, though inherent model uncertainty persists; sunnier breaks post-thunderstorms or reduced cloud cover could push toward 28°C before evening cooling, with next update at 16:30 HKT providing clarity as the day resolves.

Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 10:43 HKT on March 30, projects a daily high of 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with occasional heavy showers and severe squally thunderstorms from a nearby trough of low pressure, driving trader consensus to 97.3% implied probability for this outcome. Current observations confirm this, with the Observatory reaching 27°C by 1 p.m. HKT amid 66% relative humidity and a thunderstorm warning, while select stations like Tseung Kwan O hit 29°C briefly but align with the forecast's upper bound given south winds and high rainfall probability. This reflects spring climatology of normal to above-normal temperatures, though inherent model uncertainty persists; sunnier breaks post-thunderstorms or reduced cloud cover could push toward 28°C before evening cooling, with next update at 16:30 HKT providing clarity as the day resolves.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 97%, followed by "28°C" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" has generated $113.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" is "27°C" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.