Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for an 18°C high temperature in Wuhan on March 30, 2026, anchored by real-time observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the market's official resolution source—showing mid-afternoon peaks around 17-18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and northerly winds of 16-24 km/h that limited solar insolation and suppressed further warming. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from March 29-30 projected maxima of 17-18°C, aligning with AccuWeather model ensembles and a cooldown from March 29's 24°C under clearer skies; this fits late-March climatology, where frontal systems typically cap highs at 17-20°C. Final METAR reports through evening will confirm, but scenarios like sudden cloud breaks or wind shifts enabling 19°C+ are improbable given current upper-air patterns and diurnal cooling underway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$78,931 Vol.
$78,931 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$78,931 Vol.
$78,931 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for an 18°C high temperature in Wuhan on March 30, 2026, anchored by real-time observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the market's official resolution source—showing mid-afternoon peaks around 17-18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and northerly winds of 16-24 km/h that limited solar insolation and suppressed further warming. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from March 29-30 projected maxima of 17-18°C, aligning with AccuWeather model ensembles and a cooldown from March 29's 24°C under clearer skies; this fits late-March climatology, where frontal systems typically cap highs at 17-20°C. Final METAR reports through evening will confirm, but scenarios like sudden cloud breaks or wind shifts enabling 19°C+ are improbable given current upper-air patterns and diurnal cooling underway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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