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Highest temperature in Seattle on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seattle on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

50-51°F 47%

48-49°F 35%

52-53°F 13%

46-47°F 7%

Polymarket
NEW

$25,330 Vol.

50-51°F 47%

48-49°F 35%

52-53°F 13%

46-47°F 7%

Polymarket
NEW

$25,330 Vol.

41°F or below

$3,960 Vol.

<1%

42-43°F

$1,780 Vol.

<1%

44-45°F

$2,695 Vol.

<1%

46-47°F

$1,979 Vol.

7%

48-49°F

$1,983 Vol.

35%

50-51°F

$2,154 Vol.

53%

52-53°F

$1,422 Vol.

13%

54-55°F

$1,058 Vol.

4%

56-57°F

$1,919 Vol.

1%

58-59°F

$4,478 Vol.

<1%

60°F or higher

$1,960 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirmed a high of 46-47°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) yesterday amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow, well below the March climatological average of 55°F. Overnight into March 30, temperatures hovered in the upper 30s°F with light rain and low clouds, per latest METARs. Current NWS guidance and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partial afternoon clearing and light southerly winds, supporting trader-implied highs of 50-51°F (46.5%) or 48-49°F (33%), reflecting modest diurnal warming under lingering cool upper-air mass. Uncertainty persists in cloud evolution; hourly KSEA reports through evening will determine resolution amid typical spring variability.

National Weather Service observations confirmed a high of 46-47°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) yesterday amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow, well below the March climatological average of 55°F. Overnight into March 30, temperatures hovered in the upper 30s°F with light rain and low clouds, per latest METARs. Current NWS guidance and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partial afternoon clearing and light southerly winds, supporting trader-implied highs of 50-51°F (46.5%) or 48-49°F (33%), reflecting modest diurnal warming under lingering cool upper-air mass. Uncertainty persists in cloud evolution; hourly KSEA reports through evening will determine resolution amid typical spring variability.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirmed a high of 46-47°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) yesterday amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow, well below the March climatological average of 55°F. Overnight into March 30, temperatures hovered in the upper 30s°F with light rain and low clouds, per latest METARs. Current NWS guidance and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partial afternoon clearing and light southerly winds, supporting trader-implied highs of 50-51°F (46.5%) or 48-49°F (33%), reflecting modest diurnal warming under lingering cool upper-air mass. Uncertainty persists in cloud evolution; hourly KSEA reports through evening will determine resolution amid typical spring variability.

National Weather Service observations confirmed a high of 46-47°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) yesterday amid persistent marine stratus clouds and cool northerly flow, well below the March climatological average of 55°F. Overnight into March 30, temperatures hovered in the upper 30s°F with light rain and low clouds, per latest METARs. Current NWS guidance and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) indicate partial afternoon clearing and light southerly winds, supporting trader-implied highs of 50-51°F (46.5%) or 48-49°F (33%), reflecting modest diurnal warming under lingering cool upper-air mass. Uncertainty persists in cloud evolution; hourly KSEA reports through evening will determine resolution amid typical spring variability.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seattle on March 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50-51°F" at 53%, followed by "48-49°F" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 30?" has generated $25.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 30?" is "50-51°F" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "48-49°F" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.