Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 78-81°F in Denver on March 30, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting around 80°F under a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure. This setup has fueled an extraordinary March heat wave, with recent record highs like 87°F on March 25 shattering historical benchmarks (normal March 30 high is 58°F per NWS climatology). Downslope winds gusting 20-30 mph, low humidity, and clear skies promote adiabatic warming and subsidence, though a Red Flag Warning signals fire risk from these dry conditions. Model ensembles show tight agreement, but minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover or wind shear could nudge the peak within the 76-83°F range; official DIA observations will resolve by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 30?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 30?
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 11.9%
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 11.9%
73°F or below
3%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 78-81°F in Denver on March 30, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting around 80°F under a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure. This setup has fueled an extraordinary March heat wave, with recent record highs like 87°F on March 25 shattering historical benchmarks (normal March 30 high is 58°F per NWS climatology). Downslope winds gusting 20-30 mph, low humidity, and clear skies promote adiabatic warming and subsidence, though a Red Flag Warning signals fire risk from these dry conditions. Model ensembles show tight agreement, but minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover or wind shear could nudge the peak within the 76-83°F range; official DIA observations will resolve by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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